YEARLY HIGH
51.2142 UGX
YEARLY LOW
47.0585 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
48.6762 UGX

2021 RUB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RUB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 19, valuing the pair at 51.2142. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 12, dropping to 47.0585.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.1557 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 49.5605 to the December average rate of 48.1391, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 51.2142 was down 15.13% compared to the 2020 peak of 60.3471, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 256,071 UGX
2020 Average 258,200 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 235,293 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,778.62 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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50.4215
47.4199
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 48.7549, compared to 48.5975 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1574 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 48.7549
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 48.5975

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 2.8252 UGX (High: 49.9694 / Low: 47.1441). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8924 UGX (High: 48.9366 / Low: 48.0442).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą2.8252
September Spread (Stable) Âą0.8924

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.4661 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4661

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 50.1714) against the same month in 2020 (average: 47.9365), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2349 (+4.66%).

2021 Avg (October) 50.1714
2020 Avg (October) 47.9365

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Month High Low Average
January 50.5906 48.3793 49.5605
February 49.9121 48.1614 49.3314
March 50.3149 47.8125 49.1362
April 48.3816 47.0585 47.6700
May 48.4444 47.4322 48.0512
June 49.2437 48.2321 48.7801
July 48.6239 47.4369 48.0314
August 48.6748 47.5243 48.0988
September 48.9366 48.0442 48.4246
October 51.2142 48.6279 50.1714
November 49.9694 47.1441 48.7197
December 48.5331 47.4080 48.1391