YEARLY HIGH
5.9069 RUB
YEARLY LOW
3.4192 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7177 RUB

2021 SCR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SCR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 26, valuing the pair at 5.9069. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 3.4192.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4878 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5088 to the December average rate of 5.4911, the exchange rate registered a net change of 56.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.9069 was down 0.18% compared to the 2020 peak of 5.9174, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,535 RUB
2020 Average 21,381 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 17,096 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,438.78 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

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5.7607
3.3041
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1003, compared to 5.3350 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2347 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1003
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.3350

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 1.8268 RUB (High: 5.5016 / Low: 3.6748). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1506 RUB (High: 3.5948 / Low: 3.4442).

April Spread (Volatile) Âą1.8268
February Spread (Stable) Âą0.1506

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3848 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3848

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2021: 5.4124) against the same month in 2020 (average: 3.7762), the exchange rate shifted by +1.6362 (+43.33%).

2021 Avg (November) 5.4124
2020 Avg (November) 3.7762

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Month High Low Average
January 3.5944 3.4192 3.5088
February 3.5948 3.4442 3.5116
March 3.7362 3.4320 3.5219
April 5.5016 3.6748 4.6939
May 5.0843 4.4370 4.6997
June 4.9242 4.3609 4.6661
July 5.5224 4.5429 5.0099
August 5.7609 4.8159 5.3694
September 5.6945 5.1726 5.5560
October 5.6203 4.7270 5.1712
November 5.9069 4.9239 5.4124
December 5.7789 4.9642 5.4911