YEARLY HIGH
0.3661 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.3127 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3445 UGX

2021 SLL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SLL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 0.3661. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 0.3127.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0534 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3624 to the December average rate of 0.3166, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.3661 was down 29.05% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.5159, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SLL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,830 UGX
2020 Average 2,041 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,563 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 266.94 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.3670
0.3120
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SLL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3544, compared to 0.3346 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0198 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3544
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3346

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.0128 UGX (High: 0.3421 / Low: 0.3293). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0025 UGX (High: 0.3474 / Low: 0.3450).

October Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0128
July Spread (Stable) Âą0.0025

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0119 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0119

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.3624) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.4913), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1289 (-26.23%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.3624
2020 Avg (January) 0.4913

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Month High Low Average
January 0.3661 0.3599 0.3624
February 0.3612 0.3581 0.3593
March 0.3600 0.3572 0.3585
April 0.3581 0.3497 0.3548
May 0.3516 0.3451 0.3472
June 0.3470 0.3407 0.3443
July 0.3474 0.3450 0.3462
August 0.3466 0.3424 0.3445
September 0.3426 0.3352 0.3392
October 0.3421 0.3293 0.3365
November 0.3295 0.3205 0.3246
December 0.3208 0.3127 0.3166