YEARLY HIGH
7.7998 KES
YEARLY LOW
5.0336 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.2740 KES

2021 SRD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SRD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 7.7998. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 5.0336.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7662 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.7662 to the December average rate of 5.3353, the exchange rate registered a net change of -31.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 7.7998 was down 46.46% compared to the 2020 peak of 14.5669, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38,999 KES
2020 Average 61,816 KES
Yearly Trough Low 25,168 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,831.12 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

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8.0318
4.8443
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SRD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.3658, compared to 5.1822 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1836 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.3658
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.1822

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 2.5897 KES (High: 7.6233 / Low: 5.0336). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0302 KES (High: 7.7614 / Low: 7.7312).

June Spread (Volatile) Âą2.5897
March Spread (Stable) Âą0.0302

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.8816 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.8816

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 7.7662) against the same month in 2020 (average: 13.5547), the exchange rate shifted by -5.7885 (-42.70%).

2021 Avg (January) 7.7662
2020 Avg (January) 13.5547

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Month High Low Average
January 7.7998 7.7202 7.7662
February 7.7807 7.7293 7.7479
March 7.7614 7.7312 7.7498
April 7.6945 7.5459 7.6289
May 7.6544 7.5255 7.5919
June 7.6233 5.0336 5.7103
July 5.1760 5.0635 5.1119
August 5.1585 5.0704 5.1099
September 5.1986 5.1378 5.1538
October 5.1993 5.1492 5.1747
November 5.2318 5.1535 5.2076
December 5.8317 5.2200 5.3353