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2016 SRD to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016
During 2016, the SRD to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 15, valuing the pair at 1.9654. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 21, dropping to 1.2839.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6815 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5829 to the December average rate of 1.3563, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.9654 was up 1.81% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.9304, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SRD based on timing:
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SRD to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 1.6316, compared to 1.3762 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.2554 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.2501 VEF (High: 1.7927 / Low: 1.5426). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 VEF (High: 1.5831 / Low: 1.5822).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.2712 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 1.8773) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.9092), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0319 (-1.67%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1.5831 | 1.5822 | 1.5829 |
| February | 1.5851 | 1.5822 | 1.5831 |
| March | 1.5936 | 1.5822 | 1.5849 |
| April | 1.9654 | 1.7458 | 1.8773 |
| May | 1.7927 | 1.5426 | 1.7164 |
| June | 1.5523 | 1.4172 | 1.4452 |
| July | 1.4216 | 1.4056 | 1.4138 |
| August | 1.4146 | 1.3550 | 1.3884 |
| September | 1.3891 | 1.2839 | 1.3313 |
| October | 1.4588 | 1.3041 | 1.3833 |
| November | 1.4362 | 1.3645 | 1.3841 |
| December | 1.3667 | 1.3469 | 1.3563 |