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2013 STD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013
During 2013, the STD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 0.1483. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 19, dropping to 0.1347.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0136 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1453 to the December average rate of 0.1402, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.1483 was up 2.83% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.1443, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 STD based on timing:
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STD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 0.1404, compared to 0.1396 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.0008 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 0.0070 UGX (High: 0.1483 / Low: 0.1413). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0023 UGX (High: 0.1397 / Low: 0.1373).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0055 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 0.1449) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.1259), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0190 (+15.12%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.1471 | 0.1439 | 0.1453 |
| February | 0.1483 | 0.1413 | 0.1449 |
| March | 0.1421 | 0.1352 | 0.1394 |
| April | 0.1386 | 0.1349 | 0.1367 |
| May | 0.1403 | 0.1347 | 0.1372 |
| June | 0.1419 | 0.1361 | 0.1393 |
| July | 0.1404 | 0.1359 | 0.1379 |
| August | 0.1440 | 0.1384 | 0.1403 |
| September | 0.1413 | 0.1385 | 0.1398 |
| October | 0.1424 | 0.1397 | 0.1409 |
| November | 0.1397 | 0.1373 | 0.1387 |
| December | 0.1426 | 0.1391 | 0.1402 |