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2010 SVC to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2010
During 2010, the SVC to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 266.6086. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 217.7440.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 48.8646 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 221.1203 to the December average rate of 263.4322, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:
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SVC to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 238.9279, compared to 259.1784 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 20.2505 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2010 was May, with a trading range of 16.1782 UGX (High: 257.4664 / Low: 241.2882). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.3154 UGX (High: 259.0075 / Low: 255.6921).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 3.3310 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineHistorical data for the previous year (2009) is currently unavailable. Strongest month average for December 2010 is 263.4322.
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 224.3182 | 217.7440 | 221.1203 |
| February | 233.7690 | 222.3716 | 228.6020 |
| March | 244.0308 | 232.9265 | 237.6501 |
| April | 242.9064 | 236.9895 | 238.3813 |
| May | 257.4664 | 241.2882 | 249.3671 |
| June | 261.8471 | 254.4898 | 258.4467 |
| July | 260.8796 | 255.1966 | 258.1937 |
| August | 259.0336 | 251.4633 | 254.8627 |
| September | 259.0075 | 255.6921 | 257.5499 |
| October | 261.9913 | 256.7983 | 258.9549 |
| November | 264.3527 | 260.7392 | 262.0770 |
| December | 266.6086 | 261.9188 | 263.4322 |