YEARLY HIGH
326.7294 UGX
YEARLY LOW
308.4557 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
315.6192 UGX

2021 TJS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the TJS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 326.7294. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 308.4557.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 18.2738 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 324.4380 to the December average rate of 314.8340, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 326.7294 was down 17.94% compared to the 2020 peak of 398.1797, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,633,647 UGX
2020 Average 1,806,008 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,542,278 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 91,368.78 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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325.8544
308.8577
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 317.9428, compared to 313.2955 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.6473 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 317.9428
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 313.2955

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 8.4565 UGX (High: 320.8836 / Low: 312.4272). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9637 UGX (High: 321.8981 / Low: 320.9344).

October Spread (Volatile) Âą8.4565
March Spread (Stable) Âą0.9637

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 6.4770 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.4770

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 324.4380) against the same month in 2020 (average: 379.4835), the exchange rate shifted by -55.0455 (-14.51%).

2021 Avg (January) 324.4380
2020 Avg (January) 379.4835

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Month High Low Average
January 326.7294 322.5125 324.4380
February 322.9467 321.1941 321.7693
March 321.8981 320.9344 321.3499
April 321.2582 313.6320 318.0926
May 315.2951 309.7768 311.6156
June 311.7442 308.4557 310.3917
July 312.5863 310.3866 311.4476
August 311.7436 309.3802 310.2741
September 314.0728 310.4187 311.3417
October 320.8836 312.4272 316.7596
November 316.9557 312.7126 315.1162
December 316.2885 313.5446 314.8340