YEARLY HIGH
50.0410 PHP
YEARLY LOW
45.9626 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
47.4915 PHP

2016 TMT to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TMT to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 17, valuing the pair at 50.0410. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 8, dropping to 45.9626.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.0784 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 47.5177 to the December average rate of 49.7816, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 50.0410 was up 5.44% compared to the 2015 peak of 47.4595, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TMT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 250,205 PHP
2015 Average 227,622 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 229,813 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,392.06 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

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50.1245
46.0094
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TMT to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 46.8912, compared to 48.0918 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.2007 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 46.8912
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 48.0918

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was September, with a trading range of 1.8386 PHP (High: 48.3687 / Low: 46.5302). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4033 PHP (High: 47.8547 / Low: 47.4514).

September Spread (Volatile) Âą1.8386
February Spread (Stable) Âą0.4033

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 1.0288 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0288

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 49.7816) against the same month in 2015 (average: 47.1979), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5837 (+5.47%).

2016 Avg (December) 49.7816
2015 Avg (December) 47.1979

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Month High Low Average
January 48.0204 46.9016 47.5177
February 47.8547 47.4514 47.6149
March 47.2997 45.9831 46.5861
April 46.9990 46.0417 46.3524
May 47.3181 46.5392 46.8176
June 47.0858 45.9626 46.4583
July 47.2799 46.7498 47.0440
August 47.0408 46.2796 46.6124
September 48.3687 46.5302 47.5367
October 48.6061 48.0507 48.3469
November 50.0056 48.3045 49.2294
December 50.0410 49.5605 49.7816