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2021 TOP to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the TOP to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 27, valuing the pair at 8.0394. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 7.4957.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5437 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.5612 to the December average rate of 7.7614, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 8.0394 was up 1.76% compared to the 2020 peak of 7.9003, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:
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TOP to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 7.7629, compared to 7.8121 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 0.0492 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 0.2472 MDL (High: 7.8680 / Low: 7.6208). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0897 MDL (High: 7.8349 / Low: 7.7452).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1605 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2021: 7.9496) against the same month in 2020 (average: 7.5565), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3930 (+5.20%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 7.6284 | 7.4957 | 7.5612 |
| February | 7.6873 | 7.4961 | 7.5865 |
| March | 7.8680 | 7.6208 | 7.7625 |
| April | 7.9185 | 7.7880 | 7.8607 |
| May | 7.9113 | 7.8021 | 7.8567 |
| June | 8.0394 | 7.8891 | 7.9496 |
| July | 8.0245 | 7.8745 | 7.9678 |
| August | 7.9525 | 7.7067 | 7.8072 |
| September | 7.8605 | 7.7076 | 7.8113 |
| October | 7.8307 | 7.6385 | 7.7258 |
| November | 7.8349 | 7.7452 | 7.7989 |
| December | 7.8317 | 7.6689 | 7.7614 |