YEARLY HIGH
33.8893 RUB
YEARLY LOW
31.0499 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
32.5308 RUB

2021 TOP to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the TOP to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 20, valuing the pair at 33.8893. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 26, dropping to 31.0499.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8394 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 32.6546 to the December average rate of 32.3242, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 33.8893 was down 2.17% compared to the 2020 peak of 34.6403, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 169,446 RUB
2020 Average 157,092 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 155,250 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,196.76 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

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33.5997
31.4737
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 32.7447, compared to 32.3169 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4278 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 32.7447
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 32.3169

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 1.6303 RUB (High: 33.1896 / Low: 31.5593). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5636 RUB (High: 32.8290 / Low: 32.2655).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą1.6303
August Spread (Stable) Âą0.5636

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.7137 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7137

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2021: 33.4225) against the same month in 2020 (average: 32.0834), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3391 (+4.17%).

2021 Avg (April) 33.4225
2020 Avg (April) 32.0834

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Month High Low Average
January 33.1800 32.0579 32.6546
February 33.0969 31.9721 32.3887
March 33.6334 32.1016 32.6878
April 33.8893 32.8716 33.4225
May 33.3045 32.5880 32.8390
June 33.0862 32.1872 32.4758
July 33.1999 32.3346 32.7476
August 32.8290 32.2655 32.4931
September 32.7490 31.9614 32.3645
October 32.0544 31.0499 31.6509
November 33.1896 31.5593 32.3212
December 32.8803 32.1331 32.3242