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2018 TRY to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the TRY to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 29.7500. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 15.8729.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.8770 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 29.0293 to the December average rate of 20.4344, the exchange rate registered a net change of -29.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 29.7500 was down 18.27% compared to the 2017 peak of 36.4018, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:
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TRY to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 26.3873, compared to 19.6625 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 6.7247 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 5.7429 ALL (High: 21.6159 / Low: 15.8729). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5391 ALL (High: 28.6818 / Low: 28.1427).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 4.1073 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 29.0293) against the same month in 2017 (average: 34.3001), the exchange rate shifted by -5.2708 (-15.37%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 29.7500 | 28.4726 | 29.0293 |
| February | 28.6818 | 28.1427 | 28.3968 |
| March | 28.3862 | 26.3817 | 27.3378 |
| April | 26.8769 | 25.2818 | 25.9399 |
| May | 25.8989 | 22.7092 | 24.2778 |
| June | 24.2459 | 22.9198 | 23.3421 |
| July | 23.5617 | 21.8684 | 22.6049 |
| August | 21.6159 | 15.8729 | 18.4976 |
| September | 18.0102 | 16.3797 | 17.2118 |
| October | 20.1390 | 17.6547 | 18.7702 |
| November | 21.0952 | 19.8531 | 20.4564 |
| December | 21.1178 | 20.2123 | 20.4344 |