YEARLY HIGH
0.4364 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.2468 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3515 BAM

2018 TRY to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 0.4364. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 3, dropping to 0.2468.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1896 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4256 to the December average rate of 0.3236, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4364 was down 17.23% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5273, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,822 BAM
2017 Average 23,813 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 12,342 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,479.59 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.4416
0.2491
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3965, compared to 0.3066 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0898 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3965
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3066

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0886 BAM (High: 0.3359 / Low: 0.2473). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0062 BAM (High: 0.4212 / Low: 0.4150).

August Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0886
February Spread (Stable) Âą0.0062

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0626 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0626

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.4256) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4922), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0666 (-13.54%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.4256
2017 Avg (January) 0.4922

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Month High Low Average
January 0.4364 0.4166 0.4256
February 0.4212 0.4150 0.4183
March 0.4215 0.3933 0.4076
April 0.4010 0.3816 0.3918
May 0.3946 0.3508 0.3737
June 0.3724 0.3489 0.3619
July 0.3653 0.3362 0.3501
August 0.3359 0.2473 0.2875
September 0.2789 0.2468 0.2652
October 0.3149 0.2749 0.2931
November 0.3327 0.3093 0.3202
December 0.3325 0.3197 0.3236