YEARLY HIGH
472.4836 BIF
YEARLY LOW
255.6964 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
378.8965 BIF

2018 TRY to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 472.4836. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 255.6964.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 216.7872 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 467.5282 to the December average rate of 340.3742, the exchange rate registered a net change of -27.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 472.4836 was down 8.05% compared to the 2017 peak of 513.8214, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,624,182 BIF
2017 Average 23,653,376 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 12,784,821 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,839,360.09 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

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486.1336
262.8698
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 434.5948, compared to 323.1981 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 111.3967 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 434.5948
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 323.1981

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 100.4958 BIF (High: 356.1922 / Low: 255.6964). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.8453 BIF (High: 471.8049 / Low: 460.9596).

August Spread (Volatile) Âą100.4958
February Spread (Stable) Âą10.8453

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 69.7607 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -69.7607

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 467.5282) against the same month in 2017 (average: 449.2236), the exchange rate shifted by +18.3047 (+4.07%).

2018 Avg (January) 467.5282
2017 Avg (January) 449.2236

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Month High Low Average
January 472.4836 460.5786 467.5282
February 471.8049 460.9596 466.2759
March 467.3178 440.0140 453.8568
April 449.9939 426.4057 436.1805
May 431.6666 371.7144 400.6000
June 398.9244 372.5555 383.1277
July 390.3959 359.2487 371.3799
August 356.1922 255.6964 301.6191
September 295.9983 265.9180 281.4751
October 327.5845 286.8115 308.5271
November 348.1648 324.5320 335.8134
December 346.3085 335.0800 340.3742