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2015 TRY to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015
During 2015, the TRY to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 14, valuing the pair at 404.9199. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 28, dropping to 303.4988.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 101.4211 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 396.2370 to the December average rate of 317.2420, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 404.9199 was down 9.10% compared to the 2014 peak of 445.4452, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:
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TRY to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 361.8892, compared to 321.9665 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 39.9227 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 24.5005 CDF (High: 404.9199 / Low: 380.4193). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.9291 CDF (High: 327.6470 / Low: 316.7179).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 20.5070 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 396.2370) against the same month in 2014 (average: 416.7071), the exchange rate shifted by -20.4701 (-4.91%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 404.9199 | 380.4193 | 396.2370 |
| February | 383.4067 | 366.4354 | 375.7300 |
| March | 368.8419 | 351.5692 | 357.0881 |
| April | 359.9953 | 341.4808 | 349.4997 |
| May | 360.0744 | 340.8105 | 349.6669 |
| June | 348.7054 | 335.7329 | 343.1134 |
| July | 351.4461 | 332.5607 | 343.4954 |
| August | 334.1754 | 314.2490 | 324.8311 |
| September | 316.3945 | 303.4988 | 307.1674 |
| October | 322.3792 | 306.6433 | 316.9791 |
| November | 327.6470 | 316.7179 | 322.0842 |
| December | 321.7172 | 307.7480 | 317.2420 |