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2011 TRY to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011
During 2011, the TRY to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 8, valuing the pair at 118.1268. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 93.3252.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 24.8017 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 113.4432 to the December average rate of 95.3050, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.99% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 118.1268 was down 7.40% compared to the 2010 peak of 127.5701, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:
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TRY to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 113.0850, compared to 99.7004 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 13.3846 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 8.3497 DJF (High: 101.8815 / Low: 93.5318). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.1111 DJF (High: 112.7126 / Low: 110.6015).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 6.1172 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2011: 116.8799) against the same month in 2010 (average: 119.0269), the exchange rate shifted by -2.1469 (-1.80%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 115.6680 | 110.8055 | 113.4432 |
| February | 112.7126 | 110.6015 | 111.7962 |
| March | 115.0687 | 109.7961 | 112.5517 |
| April | 118.1268 | 115.5911 | 116.8799 |
| May | 116.9615 | 110.6266 | 112.8454 |
| June | 112.7394 | 108.0494 | 110.9933 |
| July | 110.4180 | 103.4230 | 107.3420 |
| August | 105.9086 | 99.2776 | 101.2249 |
| September | 103.2121 | 95.6738 | 99.0225 |
| October | 101.8815 | 93.5318 | 97.2212 |
| November | 101.0860 | 94.2477 | 98.0865 |
| December | 97.5813 | 93.3252 | 95.3050 |