YEARLY HIGH
12.9739 GMD
YEARLY LOW
6.9111 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.2355 GMD

2018 TRY to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the TRY to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 12.9739. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 6.9111.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.0627 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.7283 to the December average rate of 9.3151, the exchange rate registered a net change of -26.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 12.9739 was down 4.13% compared to the 2017 peak of 13.5330, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 648,695 GMD
2017 Average 629,018 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 345,557 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 303,137.41 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

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JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.6462, compared to 8.8248 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.8214 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.6462
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.8248

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 2.7336 GMD (High: 9.6448 / Low: 6.9111). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3369 GMD (High: 9.5228 / Low: 9.1860).

August Spread (Volatile) Âą2.7336
December Spread (Stable) Âą0.3369

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.8288 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.8288

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 12.7283) against the same month in 2017 (average: 11.6421), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0862 (+9.33%).

2018 Avg (January) 12.7283
2017 Avg (January) 11.6421

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Month High Low Average
January 12.9739 12.4877 12.7283
February 12.8320 12.3407 12.5065
March 12.4238 11.8073 12.1554
April 11.9792 11.4081 11.6255
May 11.4823 9.9124 10.6657
June 10.5580 9.9435 10.1960
July 10.3339 9.6573 10.0005
August 9.6448 6.9111 8.1717
September 8.1995 7.2108 7.6955
October 9.0324 8.0224 8.5206
November 9.5756 8.9552 9.2452
December 9.5228 9.1860 9.3151