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2018 TRY to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the TRY to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 5, valuing the pair at 4103.9422. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 13, dropping to 62.1740.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4041.7682 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 106.9965 to the December average rate of 81.4834, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4103.9422 was up 3005.50% compared to the 2017 peak of 132.1507, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:
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TRY to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 99.8101, compared to 99.6600 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.1501 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 4025.8043 KMF (High: 4103.9422 / Low: 78.1379). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4211 KMF (High: 106.0307 / Low: 104.6095).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 133.3156 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 214.7991) against the same month in 2017 (average: 107.8274), the exchange rate shifted by +106.9717 (+99.21%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 109.5727 | 104.8649 | 106.9965 |
| February | 106.0307 | 104.6095 | 105.3258 |
| March | 105.9288 | 99.4274 | 102.5885 |
| April | 101.0211 | 96.3412 | 98.8068 |
| May | 98.7642 | 88.2302 | 93.9636 |
| June | 93.6847 | 88.9359 | 91.1794 |
| July | 92.5374 | 85.5525 | 88.3258 |
| August | 84.7087 | 62.1740 | 72.5339 |
| September | 70.0887 | 63.9626 | 67.0012 |
| October | 79.0751 | 69.1923 | 73.8168 |
| November | 4103.9422 | 78.1379 | 214.7991 |
| December | 83.1748 | 80.5297 | 81.4834 |