YEARLY HIGH
7.0617 MDL
YEARLY LOW
5.6197 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.5966 MDL

2016 TRY to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TRY to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 7.0617. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 5.6197.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4420 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.7728 to the December average rate of 5.7442, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.0617 was down 8.60% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.7264, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 353,087 MDL
2015 Average 345,000 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 280,985 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 72,102.41 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

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7.0451
5.6259
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.8145, compared to 6.3786 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4359 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.8145
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.3786

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.5902 MDL (High: 6.4275 / Low: 5.8373). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1271 MDL (High: 6.9270 / Low: 6.7999).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą0.5902
March Spread (Stable) Âą0.1271

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3723 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3723

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 6.7308) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.7685), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0377 (-0.56%).

2016 Avg (May) 6.7308
2015 Avg (May) 6.7685

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Month High Low Average
January 6.9294 6.6526 6.7728
February 6.9359 6.7174 6.8163
March 6.9270 6.7999 6.8585
April 7.0530 6.8579 6.9269
May 7.0617 6.6139 6.7308
June 6.9011 6.6931 6.7818
July 6.8602 6.4277 6.6592
August 6.7391 6.5485 6.6597
September 6.7322 6.5729 6.6511
October 6.5684 6.3879 6.4649
November 6.4275 5.8373 6.0926
December 5.9116 5.6197 5.7442