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2024 TRY to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024
During 2024, the TRY to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.2731. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.2261.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0470 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2675 to the December average rate of 0.2287, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 0.2731 was down 36.95% compared to the 2023 peak of 0.4331, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:
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TRY to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 0.2543, compared to 0.2355 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 0.0188 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2024 was March, with a trading range of 0.0086 MOP (High: 0.2568 / Low: 0.2482). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 MOP (High: 0.2344 / Low: 0.2333).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2024. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0103 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2024: 0.2675) against the same month in 2023 (average: 0.4289), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1613 (-37.62%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.2731 | 0.2647 | 0.2675 |
| February | 0.2657 | 0.2577 | 0.2616 |
| March | 0.2568 | 0.2482 | 0.2512 |
| April | 0.2523 | 0.2468 | 0.2492 |
| May | 0.2505 | 0.2480 | 0.2493 |
| June | 0.2501 | 0.2442 | 0.2468 |
| July | 0.2472 | 0.2423 | 0.2443 |
| August | 0.2425 | 0.2343 | 0.2381 |
| September | 0.2369 | 0.2338 | 0.2356 |
| October | 0.2344 | 0.2333 | 0.2337 |
| November | 0.2343 | 0.2306 | 0.2325 |
| December | 0.2309 | 0.2261 | 0.2287 |