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2014 TRY to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014
During 2014, the TRY to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 17, valuing the pair at 29.1491. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 26, dropping to 14.7905.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.3586 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.1909 to the December average rate of 24.5089, the exchange rate registered a net change of 61.34% (reflecting a strengthening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 29.1491 was up 65.45% compared to the 2013 peak of 17.6185, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:
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TRY to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 16.1982, compared to 18.9553 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulâDec) by a margin of 2.7571 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 6.9692 RUB (High: 29.1491 / Low: 22.1799). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4497 RUB (High: 17.3718 / Low: 16.9221).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.4553 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 24.5089) against the same month in 2013 (average: 15.9011), the exchange rate shifted by +8.6077 (+54.13%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 15.6619 | 14.7905 | 15.1909 |
| February | 16.3001 | 15.5414 | 15.9619 |
| March | 16.5298 | 16.0588 | 16.3371 |
| April | 16.9960 | 16.3979 | 16.7823 |
| May | 17.0133 | 16.3674 | 16.6863 |
| June | 16.6390 | 15.8102 | 16.2310 |
| July | 16.9002 | 16.0042 | 16.3941 |
| August | 17.1501 | 16.5753 | 16.7579 |
| September | 17.3718 | 16.9221 | 17.1716 |
| October | 19.3936 | 17.3635 | 18.1281 |
| November | 22.5054 | 19.3455 | 20.7712 |
| December | 29.1491 | 22.1799 | 24.5089 |