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2016 TRY to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016
During 2016, the TRY to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 9, valuing the pair at 38.8611. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 4, dropping to 30.4298.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.4313 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.6376 to the December average rate of 30.8825, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 38.8611 was down 14.01% compared to the 2015 peak of 45.1899, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:
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TRY to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 37.9070, compared to 34.3503 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 3.5567 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 3.3836 VUV (High: 34.6509 / Low: 31.2674). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7415 VUV (High: 36.3904 / Low: 35.6489).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.1505 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 38.2100) against the same month in 2015 (average: 41.0352), the exchange rate shifted by -2.8252 (-6.88%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 38.6134 | 36.9554 | 37.6376 |
| February | 38.7909 | 37.7766 | 38.3549 |
| March | 38.8611 | 37.6379 | 38.2100 |
| April | 38.6769 | 37.6457 | 38.0707 |
| May | 38.5999 | 36.5629 | 37.3242 |
| June | 38.5302 | 36.8024 | 37.8445 |
| July | 37.3728 | 35.0040 | 36.2100 |
| August | 36.3904 | 35.6489 | 35.9383 |
| September | 36.3180 | 35.3164 | 35.8050 |
| October | 35.3406 | 34.3575 | 34.7083 |
| November | 34.6509 | 31.2674 | 32.5579 |
| December | 31.4913 | 30.4298 | 30.8825 |