YEARLY HIGH
0.7738 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.4682 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5908 SCR

2021 UAH to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UAH to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 17, valuing the pair at 0.7738. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 3, dropping to 0.4682.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3055 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7524 to the December average rate of 0.4950, the exchange rate registered a net change of -34.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.7738 was up 1.28% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.7640, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,869 SCR
2020 Average 3,171 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 2,341 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,527.72 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

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0.7886
0.4642
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6686, compared to 0.5130 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1556 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6686
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5130

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.2507 SCR (High: 0.7471 / Low: 0.4964). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0212 SCR (High: 0.7659 / Low: 0.7447).

April Spread (Volatile) Âą0.2507
January Spread (Stable) Âą0.0212

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1673 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1673

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2021: 0.7616) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.5165), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2451 (+47.44%).

2021 Avg (March) 0.7616
2020 Avg (March) 0.5165

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Month High Low Average
January 0.7659 0.7447 0.7524
February 0.7708 0.7454 0.7593
March 0.7738 0.7294 0.7616
April 0.7471 0.4964 0.5943
May 0.6002 0.5308 0.5714
June 0.6101 0.5374 0.5727
July 0.6004 0.4931 0.5441
August 0.5737 0.4778 0.5130
September 0.5261 0.4796 0.4913
October 0.5666 0.4843 0.5245
November 0.5616 0.4721 0.5101
December 0.5473 0.4682 0.4950