YEARLY HIGH
40.9654 UAH
YEARLY LOW
36.6085 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
38.8780 UAH

2021 XDR to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the XDR to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 40.9654. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 11, dropping to 36.6085.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.3569 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.6777 to the December average rate of 38.1495, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 40.9654 was down 0.11% compared to the 2020 peak of 41.0093, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 204,827 UAH
2020 Average 187,983 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 183,042 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,784.75 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

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41.0234
36.8744
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XDR to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 39.8666, compared to 37.8894 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.9773 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 39.8666
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.8894

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 1.4832 UAH (High: 38.0917 / Low: 36.6085). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5525 UAH (High: 40.9654 / Low: 40.4129).

November Spread (Volatile) Âą1.4832
January Spread (Stable) Âą0.5525

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.7287 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7287

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 40.6777) against the same month in 2020 (average: 33.3537), the exchange rate shifted by +7.3240 (+21.96%).

2021 Avg (January) 40.6777
2020 Avg (January) 33.3537

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Month High Low Average
January 40.9654 40.4129 40.6777
February 40.3590 39.7597 40.1497
March 40.3499 39.4745 39.6922
April 40.2440 39.4086 39.8652
May 40.0900 39.5234 39.7388
June 39.6956 38.7340 39.0761
July 39.0311 38.1973 38.7100
August 38.4537 37.7349 38.0531
September 38.3743 37.4922 37.9661
October 37.6037 36.9522 37.2374
November 38.0917 36.6085 37.2202
December 38.3693 37.7648 38.1495