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2021 XDR to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the XDR to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 40.9654. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 11, dropping to 36.6085.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.3569 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.6777 to the December average rate of 38.1495, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 40.9654 was down 0.11% compared to the 2020 peak of 41.0093, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:
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XDR to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 39.8666, compared to 37.8894 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 1.9773 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 1.4832 UAH (High: 38.0917 / Low: 36.6085). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5525 UAH (High: 40.9654 / Low: 40.4129).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.7287 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 40.6777) against the same month in 2020 (average: 33.3537), the exchange rate shifted by +7.3240 (+21.96%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 40.9654 | 40.4129 | 40.6777 |
| February | 40.3590 | 39.7597 | 40.1497 |
| March | 40.3499 | 39.4745 | 39.6922 |
| April | 40.2440 | 39.4086 | 39.8652 |
| May | 40.0900 | 39.5234 | 39.7388 |
| June | 39.6956 | 38.7340 | 39.0761 |
| July | 39.0311 | 38.1973 | 38.7100 |
| August | 38.4537 | 37.7349 | 38.0531 |
| September | 38.3743 | 37.4922 | 37.9661 |
| October | 37.6037 | 36.9522 | 37.2374 |
| November | 38.0917 | 36.6085 | 37.2202 |
| December | 38.3693 | 37.7648 | 38.1495 |