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2021 XDR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the XDR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 5356.8748. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 4950.0583.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 406.8165 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5321.1554 to the December average rate of 4983.1057, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5356.8748 was up 0.88% compared to the 2020 peak of 5310.1996, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:
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XDR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanâJun) was 5201.6756, compared to 5021.2479 in the second half (H2: JulâDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanâJun) by a margin of 180.4276 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 147.3202 UGX (High: 5139.1406 / Low: 4991.8204). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 40.0449 UGX (High: 5034.2132 / Low: 4994.1683).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 64.5042 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 5321.1554) against the same month in 2020 (average: 5076.2772), the exchange rate shifted by +244.8783 (+4.82%).
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| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5356.8748 | 5251.4666 | 5321.1554 |
| February | 5303.3573 | 5251.6816 | 5280.5617 |
| March | 5279.1580 | 5191.1391 | 5229.3901 |
| April | 5207.5049 | 5132.5321 | 5180.3280 |
| May | 5165.8213 | 5080.4843 | 5115.8238 |
| June | 5131.6427 | 5041.3203 | 5082.7945 |
| July | 5087.0097 | 5031.7890 | 5055.5429 |
| August | 5074.0029 | 5005.1888 | 5027.8732 |
| September | 5034.2132 | 4994.1683 | 5014.2038 |
| October | 5139.1406 | 4991.8204 | 5053.4247 |
| November | 5030.3231 | 4953.3066 | 4993.3373 |
| December | 5008.1925 | 4950.0583 | 4983.1057 |