YEARLY HIGH
38.1780 UGX
YEARLY LOW
33.4868 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
35.5715 UGX

2021 XPF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the XPF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 38.1780. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 33.4868.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.6912 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.6346 to the December average rate of 33.6815, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 38.1780 was up 1.51% compared to the 2020 peak of 37.6110, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XPF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 190,890 UGX
2020 Average 177,804 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 167,434 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,456.01 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

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38.0299
33.2862
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XPF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 36.5891, compared to 34.5539 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.0352 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 36.5891
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 34.5539

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 1.1707 UGX (High: 36.3201 / Low: 35.1494). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4528 UGX (High: 33.9395 / Low: 33.4868).

June Spread (Volatile) Âą1.1707
December Spread (Stable) Âą0.4528

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.7968 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7968

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 37.6346) against the same month in 2020 (average: 34.2280), the exchange rate shifted by +3.4066 (+9.95%).

2021 Avg (January) 37.6346
2020 Avg (January) 34.2280

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Month High Low Average
January 38.1780 37.1708 37.6346
February 37.4402 36.7297 37.1648
March 37.0759 35.9550 36.5132
April 36.6209 36.0094 36.3504
May 36.4548 35.7854 36.1647
June 36.3201 35.1494 35.7072
July 35.4443 34.9221 35.1941
August 35.3306 34.5794 34.8941
September 35.1331 34.3920 34.8185
October 35.3748 34.3853 34.7660
November 34.5802 33.5328 33.9692
December 33.9395 33.4868 33.6815