YEARLY HIGH
1.3115 MDL
YEARLY LOW
1.0909 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1949 MDL

2021 ZAR to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ZAR to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 6, valuing the pair at 1.3115. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 1.0909.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2207 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1412 to the December average rate of 1.1169, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.3115 was up 6.71% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.2291, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 ZAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 65,577 MDL
2020 Average 52,645 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 54,543 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,033.61 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

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1.2923
1.1009
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ZAR to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2129, compared to 1.1770 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0359 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2129
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1770

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was August, with a trading range of 0.0949 MDL (High: 1.2439 / Low: 1.1490). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0405 MDL (High: 1.2631 / Low: 1.2226).

August Spread (Volatile) Âą0.0949
April Spread (Stable) Âą0.0405

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0452 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0452

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2021: 1.2764) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.0023), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2740 (+27.34%).

2021 Avg (June) 1.2764
2020 Avg (June) 1.0023

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Month High Low Average
January 1.1778 1.1077 1.1412
February 1.2015 1.1460 1.1792
March 1.2174 1.1276 1.1814
April 1.2631 1.2226 1.2405
May 1.2835 1.2257 1.2588
June 1.3115 1.2395 1.2764
July 1.2726 1.2112 1.2403
August 1.2439 1.1490 1.1951
September 1.2389 1.1621 1.2073
October 1.2053 1.1418 1.1702
November 1.1732 1.0909 1.1323
December 1.1461 1.0987 1.1169