YEARLY HIGH
4.0202 LSL
YEARLY LOW
3.2810 LSL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.6243 LSL

2018 BRL to LSL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BRL to LSL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 28, valuing the pair at 4.0202. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 7, dropping to 3.2810.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7392 LSL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7991 to the December average rate of 3.6660, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.0202 was down 9.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.4506, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 100,504 LSL
2017 Average 104,263 LSL
Yearly Trough Low 82,024 LSL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,480.26 LSL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.9089
3.4133
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to LSL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5956, compared to 3.6530 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0575 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5956
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.6530

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.4984 LSL (High: 4.0202 / Low: 3.5218). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0594 LSL (High: 3.5806 / Low: 3.5212).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.4984
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0594

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1547 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1547

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 3.8676) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.2939), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4263 (-9.93%).

2018 Avg (October) 3.8676
2017 Avg (October) 4.2939

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8503 3.7062 3.7991
February 3.7584 3.5645 3.6444
March 3.6686 3.5032 3.6160
April 3.5806 3.5212 3.5498
May 3.5776 3.3301 3.4546
June 3.6684 3.2810 3.5095
July 3.5914 3.4216 3.5116
August 3.6908 3.3778 3.5431
September 3.7798 3.4790 3.5984
October 4.0202 3.5218 3.8676
November 3.9140 3.5268 3.7316
December 3.7498 3.5549 3.6660