YEARLY HIGH
30.7711 RSD
YEARLY LOW
24.0731 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
27.5579 RSD

2018 BRL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BRL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 30.7711. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 13, dropping to 24.0731.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.6981 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.3072 to the December average rate of 26.7211, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 30.7711 was down 19.73% compared to the 2017 peak of 38.3353, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 769,278 RSD
2017 Average 843,722 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 601,827 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 167,451.55 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

30.8601
24.2262
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 28.6046, compared to 26.5113 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.0933 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 28.6046
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 26.5113

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 3.1379 RSD (High: 27.5552 / Low: 24.4174). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6689 RSD (High: 27.0935 / Low: 26.4246).

August Spread (Volatile) ±3.1379
December Spread (Stable) ±0.6689

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.3546 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3546

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 30.3072) against the same month in 2017 (average: 36.4181), the exchange rate shifted by -6.1109 (-16.78%).

2018 Avg (January) 30.3072
2017 Avg (January) 36.4181

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 30.7711 29.7128 30.3072
February 29.9469 29.0299 29.5083
March 29.6260 28.7207 29.2308
April 29.1131 27.7990 28.2650
May 28.0027 26.7976 27.5329
June 27.3077 25.6408 26.7832
July 27.2696 25.6574 26.4378
August 27.5552 24.4174 26.1336
September 25.3407 24.0731 24.7790
October 28.5161 25.4486 27.4434
November 28.1263 26.4996 27.5526
December 27.0935 26.4246 26.7211