YEARLY HIGH
0.7130 TOP
YEARLY LOW
0.5493 TOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6257 TOP

2018 BRL to TOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BRL to TOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 24, valuing the pair at 0.7130. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 13, dropping to 0.5493.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1638 TOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7005 to the December average rate of 0.5853, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.7130 was down 5.11% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.7514, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,826 TOP
2017 Average 17,747 TOP
Yearly Trough Low 13,732 TOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,094.11 TOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.7142
0.5502
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to TOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6570, compared to 0.5944 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0626 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6570
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5944

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0670 TOP (High: 0.6238 / Low: 0.5568). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0212 TOP (High: 0.5961 / Low: 0.5749).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0670
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0212

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0289 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0289

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.7005) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.7200), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0195 (-2.71%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.7005
2017 Avg (January) 0.7200

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7130 0.6834 0.7005
February 0.6975 0.6711 0.6818
March 0.6910 0.6675 0.6781
April 0.6752 0.6390 0.6528
May 0.6419 0.6109 0.6238
June 0.6145 0.5821 0.6051
July 0.6260 0.5894 0.6063
August 0.6238 0.5568 0.5900
September 0.5757 0.5493 0.5639
October 0.6326 0.5751 0.6135
November 0.6231 0.5818 0.6075
December 0.5961 0.5749 0.5853