2014 BRL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1200.1810 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1016.1285 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1105.8131 UGX

2014 BRL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BRL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 12, valuing the pair at 1200.1810. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 29, dropping to 1016.1285.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 184.0526 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1051.6091 to the December average rate of 1045.8223, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1200.1810 was down 12.42% compared to the 2013 peak of 1370.4596, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,004,526 UGX

2013 Average 30,101,977 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 25,403,212 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,601,313.96 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1197.8886

1021.6380

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1100.2470, compared to 1111.3791 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 11.1321 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1100.2470

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1111.3791

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 82.8510 UGX (High: 1166.2977 / Low: 1083.4468). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 19.1184 UGX (High: 1148.5128 / Low: 1129.3944).

September Spread (Volatile) ±82.8510

May Spread (Stable) ±19.1184

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 31.5095 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -31.5095

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 1183.2011) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1150.3441), the exchange rate shifted by +32.8569 (+2.86%).

2014 Avg (July) 1183.2011

2013 Avg (July) 1150.3441

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1068.2029	1016.1285	1051.6091
February	1079.2921	1016.4510	1036.3256
March	1127.3800	1063.9171	1089.0995
April	1156.3567	1118.3896	1131.7019
May	1148.5128	1129.3944	1138.9950
June	1182.8298	1120.1096	1153.7511
July	1200.1810	1155.9873	1183.2011
August	1167.8692	1136.0702	1151.6915
September	1166.2977	1083.4468	1122.2372
October	1120.5177	1063.8788	1092.5035
November	1102.4288	1046.3088	1072.8193
December	1084.4095	1020.9329	1045.8223