2011 BSD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2885.0942 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2286.4983 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2523.5752 UGX

2011 BSD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BSD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 2885.0942. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 2286.4983.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 598.5960 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2329.2395 to the December average rate of 2451.1019, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 2885.0942 was up 23.69% compared to the 2010 peak of 2332.4974, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,425,471 UGX

2010 Average 10,899,254 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 11,432,491 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,992,979.78 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

2864.2968

2280.5979

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BSD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2381.5772, compared to 2665.5732 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 283.9960 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2381.5772

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2665.5732

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 302.8318 UGX (High: 2885.0942 / Low: 2582.2624). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 20.5244 UGX (High: 2399.9950 / Low: 2379.4706).

October Spread (Volatile) ±302.8318

May Spread (Stable) ±20.5244

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 221.0628 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -221.0628

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 2801.5242) against the same month in 2010 (average: 2266.1935), the exchange rate shifted by +535.3307 (+23.62%).

2011 Avg (October) 2801.5242

2010 Avg (October) 2266.1935

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2392.4910	2286.4983	2329.2395
February	2384.0028	2307.5023	2347.4614
March	2427.4963	2368.5040	2397.9916
April	2386.1894	2330.1177	2372.2195
May	2399.9950	2379.4706	2389.8132
June	2676.4225	2387.8144	2452.7379
July	2614.0041	2540.1953	2589.1103
August	2827.7204	2613.0144	2755.5862
September	2876.5385	2779.7787	2815.6553
October	2885.0942	2582.2624	2801.5242
November	2634.9949	2503.8228	2580.4614
December	2549.8932	2361.8543	2451.1019