YEARLY HIGH
6.5720 CNY
YEARLY LOW
6.3447 CNY
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.4520 CNY

2021 BTC to CNY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BTC to CNY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 30, valuing the pair at 6.5720. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 6.3447.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2273 CNY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4748 to the December average rate of 6.3702, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 6.5720 was down 8.33% compared to the 2020 peak of 7.1693, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,860 CNY
2020 Average 34,509 CNY
Yearly Trough Low 31,723 CNY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,136.50 CNY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

6.5389
6.3548
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTC to CNY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4718, compared to 6.4322 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0396 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4718
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.4322

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 0.1062 CNY (High: 6.5720 / Low: 6.4658). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0329 CNY (High: 6.3776 / Low: 6.3447).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1062
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0329

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0941 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0941

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2021: 6.5122) against the same month in 2020 (average: 7.0269), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5146 (-7.32%).

2021 Avg (March) 6.5122
2020 Avg (March) 7.0269

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.5330 6.4276 6.4748
February 6.4882 6.4353 6.4649
March 6.5720 6.4658 6.5122
April 6.5675 6.4722 6.5236
May 6.4745 6.3684 6.4295
June 6.4813 6.3811 6.4259
July 6.5112 6.4564 6.4763
August 6.5015 6.4607 6.4785
September 6.4706 6.4325 6.4573
October 6.4507 6.3828 6.4212
November 6.4072 6.3643 6.3898
December 6.3776 6.3447 6.3702