2016 BTN to BRL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0609 BRL

YEARLY LOW

0.0466 BRL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0519 BRL

2016 BTN to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BTN to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.0609. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 25, dropping to 0.0466.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0143 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0601 to the December average rate of 0.0494, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0609 was down 3.02% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0628, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 305 BRL

2015 Average 259 BRL

Yearly Trough Low 233 BRL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 71.50 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0613

0.0467

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0551, compared to 0.0487 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0064 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0551

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0487

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0058 BRL (High: 0.0535 / Low: 0.0477). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0017 BRL (High: 0.0498 / Low: 0.0481).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0058

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0030 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0030

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.0601) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0424), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0177 (+41.90%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.0601

2015 Avg (January) 0.0424

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0609	0.0589	0.0601
February	0.0594	0.0573	0.0582
March	0.0579	0.0535	0.0551
April	0.0554	0.0519	0.0534
May	0.0539	0.0518	0.0529
June	0.0535	0.0477	0.0509
July	0.0497	0.0480	0.0487
August	0.0488	0.0469	0.0479
September	0.0498	0.0481	0.0487
October	0.0490	0.0466	0.0479
November	0.0511	0.0477	0.0496
December	0.0515	0.0477	0.0494