2016 BTN to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1209 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.1162 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1190 MOP

2016 BTN to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BTN to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.1209. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 29, dropping to 0.1162.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0047 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1192 to the December average rate of 0.1178, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1209 was down 7.15% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1302, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 604 MOP

2015 Average 623 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 581 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 23.64 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1205

0.1172

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1191, compared to 0.1190 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1191

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1190

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0042 MOP (High: 0.1204 / Low: 0.1162). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0008 MOP (High: 0.1197 / Low: 0.1189).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0042

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0017 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0017

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.1192) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1285), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0093 (-7.25%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.1192

2015 Avg (January) 0.1285

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1209	0.1177	0.1192
February	0.1185	0.1165	0.1174
March	0.1206	0.1177	0.1193
April	0.1207	0.1198	0.1202
May	0.1205	0.1183	0.1195
June	0.1199	0.1175	0.1188
July	0.1196	0.1184	0.1189
August	0.1197	0.1189	0.1194
September	0.1203	0.1191	0.1197
October	0.1202	0.1193	0.1197
November	0.1204	0.1162	0.1183
December	0.1187	0.1166	0.1178