YEARLY HIGH
0.1830 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.1559 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1699 UGX

2016 BYR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BYR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.1830. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 0.1559.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0271 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1739 to the December average rate of 0.1798, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.39% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1830 was down 28.43% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2557, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BYR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 915 UGX
2015 Average 1,020 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 780 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 135.51 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1820
0.1560
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BYR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1673, compared to 0.1725 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0051 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1673
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1725

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0199 UGX (High: 0.1830 / Low: 0.1631). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 UGX (High: 0.1688 / Low: 0.1681).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0199
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0157 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0157

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.1739) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.2057), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0318 (-15.47%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.1739
2015 Avg (January) 0.2057

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1830 0.1631 0.1739
February 0.1641 0.1559 0.1582
March 0.1676 0.1561 0.1629
April 0.1726 0.1665 0.1683
May 0.1734 0.1701 0.1717
June 0.1701 0.1670 0.1689
July 0.1697 0.1681 0.1687
August 0.1688 0.1681 0.1684
September 0.1691 0.1683 0.1688
October 0.1729 0.1687 0.1713
November 0.1812 0.1730 0.1778
December 0.1813 0.1774 0.1798