YEARLY HIGH
5.9584 MOP
YEARLY LOW
5.6732 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.8138 MOP

2026 CAD to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the CAD to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 29, valuing the pair at 5.9584. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 25, dropping to 5.6732.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2852 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.8244 to the December average rate of 5.7402, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 5.9584 was up 0.03% compared to the 2025 peak of 5.9566, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,792 MOP
2025 Average 28,732 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 28,366 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,425.98 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

5.9115
5.7026
JanuMarcMayJuly

CAD to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.8417, compared to 5.7301 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1116 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.8417
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.7301

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.1891 MOP (High: 5.9584 / Low: 5.7693). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 MOP (High: 5.7402 / Low: 5.7402).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1891
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1090 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1090

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 5.8244) against the same month in 2025 (average: 5.5673), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2570 (+4.62%).

2026 Avg (January) 5.8244
2025 Avg (January) 5.5673

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.9584 5.7693 5.8244
February 5.9432 5.8622 5.8941
March 5.9371 5.7855 5.8705
April 5.9363 5.7753 5.8550
May 5.9355 5.8308 5.8575
June 5.8426 5.6732 5.7485
July 5.7593 5.6815 5.7200
August 5.7402 5.7402 5.7402