YEARLY HIGH
0.0027 GEL
YEARLY LOW
0.0022 GEL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0024 GEL

2016 CDF to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 0.0027. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 23, dropping to 0.0022.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0005 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0026 to the December average rate of 0.0023, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0027 was up 2.34% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0026, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14 GEL
2015 Average 12 GEL
Yearly Trough Low 11 GEL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2.64 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0027
0.0022
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0025, compared to 0.0024 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0025
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0024

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0005 GEL (High: 0.0027 / Low: 0.0022). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 GEL (High: 0.0027 / Low: 0.0027).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0005
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 0.0025) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0026), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0001 (-3.43%).

2016 Avg (November) 0.0025
2015 Avg (November) 0.0026

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0027 0.0026 0.0026
February 0.0027 0.0027 0.0027
March 0.0027 0.0025 0.0026
April 0.0025 0.0024 0.0024
May 0.0024 0.0023 0.0024
June 0.0025 0.0023 0.0023
July 0.0025 0.0024 0.0025
August 0.0024 0.0023 0.0024
September 0.0024 0.0023 0.0024
October 0.0025 0.0024 0.0024
November 0.0027 0.0022 0.0025
December 0.0024 0.0022 0.0023