YEARLY HIGH
0.4984 KMF
YEARLY LOW
0.3947 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4599 KMF

2016 CDF to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 16, valuing the pair at 0.4984. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 0.3947.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1037 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4873 to the December average rate of 0.4009, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4984 was down 1.38% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.5054, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,492 KMF
2015 Average 2,395 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 1,973 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 518.53 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.4959
0.3923
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4731, compared to 0.4467 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0264 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4731
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4467

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0928 KMF (High: 0.4984 / Low: 0.4055). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0059 KMF (High: 0.4532 / Low: 0.4473).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0928
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0059

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0578 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0578

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 0.4588) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4940), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0352 (-7.13%).

2016 Avg (November) 0.4588
2015 Avg (November) 0.4940

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4927 0.4780 0.4873
February 0.4876 0.4691 0.4776
March 0.4906 0.4714 0.4773
April 0.4719 0.4648 0.4677
May 0.4774 0.4604 0.4673
June 0.4730 0.4480 0.4616
July 0.4706 0.4500 0.4599
August 0.4592 0.4451 0.4543
September 0.4532 0.4473 0.4501
October 0.4654 0.4476 0.4563
November 0.4984 0.4055 0.4588
December 0.4081 0.3947 0.4009