YEARLY HIGH
0.4134 KZT
YEARLY LOW
0.2777 KZT
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3551 KZT

2016 CDF to KZT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to KZT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.4134. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 0.2777.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1357 KZT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3910 to the December average rate of 0.2871, the exchange rate registered a net change of -26.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4134 was up 11.56% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3706, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,067 KZT
2015 Average 1,199 KZT
Yearly Trough Low 1,388 KZT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 678.75 KZT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.4014
0.2767
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to KZT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3716, compared to 0.3386 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0330 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3716
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3386

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0785 KZT (High: 0.3741 / Low: 0.2956). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0083 KZT (High: 0.3778 / Low: 0.3695).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0785
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0083

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0569 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0569

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.3910) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1985), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1925 (+96.94%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.3910
2015 Avg (January) 0.1985

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4134 0.3681 0.3910
February 0.4018 0.3766 0.3861
March 0.3778 0.3695 0.3725
April 0.3716 0.3528 0.3632
May 0.3631 0.3519 0.3582
June 0.3665 0.3494 0.3585
July 0.3703 0.3536 0.3591
August 0.3651 0.3450 0.3523
September 0.3522 0.3426 0.3472
October 0.3483 0.3375 0.3421
November 0.3741 0.2956 0.3440
December 0.2986 0.2777 0.2871