2016 CDF to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3920 MRO

YEARLY LOW

0.3002 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3640 MRO

2016 CDF to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 11, valuing the pair at 0.3920. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 0.3002.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0917 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3610 to the December average rate of 0.3075, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3920 was up 6.48% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3681, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,960 MRO

2015 Average 1,670 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 1,501 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 458.64 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3863

0.3003

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3717, compared to 0.3563 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0155 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3717

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3563

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0791 MRO (High: 0.3912 / Low: 0.3121). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0053 MRO (High: 0.3673 / Low: 0.3620).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0791

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0053

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0542 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0542

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.3788) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3461), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0327 (+9.45%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.3788

2015 Avg (June) 0.3461

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3712	0.3329	0.3610
February	0.3717	0.3545	0.3683
March	0.3749	0.3680	0.3708
April	0.3754	0.3685	0.3724
May	0.3845	0.3691	0.3791
June	0.3920	0.3695	0.3788
July	0.3776	0.3625	0.3731
August	0.3664	0.3609	0.3639
September	0.3673	0.3620	0.3645
October	0.3727	0.3615	0.3671
November	0.3912	0.3121	0.3617
December	0.3158	0.3002	0.3075