YEARLY HIGH
0.5559 RWF
YEARLY LOW
0.5248 RWF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5364 RWF

2018 CDF to RWF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to RWF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 0.5559. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 5, dropping to 0.5248.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0311 RWF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5331 to the December average rate of 0.5431, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.5559 was down 22.58% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.7180, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,780 RWF
2017 Average 2,899 RWF
Yearly Trough Low 2,624 RWF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 155.57 RWF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.5466
0.5284
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to RWF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5336, compared to 0.5392 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0056 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5336
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5392

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0275 RWF (High: 0.5550 / Low: 0.5275). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0073 RWF (High: 0.5395 / Low: 0.5322).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0275
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0073

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0032 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0032

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.5431) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.5435), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0004 (-0.07%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.5431
2017 Avg (December) 0.5435

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5488 0.5274 0.5331
February 0.5357 0.5248 0.5299
March 0.5370 0.5282 0.5316
April 0.5366 0.5291 0.5343
May 0.5395 0.5322 0.5364
June 0.5407 0.5322 0.5365
July 0.5550 0.5275 0.5364
August 0.5425 0.5322 0.5364
September 0.5427 0.5323 0.5358
October 0.5433 0.5335 0.5384
November 0.5535 0.5405 0.5451
December 0.5559 0.5371 0.5431