YEARLY HIGH
0.0155 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.0111 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0138 SCR

2016 CDF to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 14, valuing the pair at 0.0155. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 0.0111.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0044 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0141 to the December average rate of 0.0115, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0155 was up 1.06% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0153, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 77 SCR
2015 Average 72 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 56 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 21.83 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0148
0.0112
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0143, compared to 0.0133 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0143
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0133

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0030 SCR (High: 0.0146 / Low: 0.0116). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 SCR (High: 0.0137 / Low: 0.0134).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0030
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0020 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0020

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 0.0144) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0151), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0007 (-4.70%).

2016 Avg (February) 0.0144
2015 Avg (February) 0.0151

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0147 0.0138 0.0141
February 0.0155 0.0138 0.0144
March 0.0146 0.0140 0.0143
April 0.0152 0.0138 0.0145
May 0.0149 0.0141 0.0144
June 0.0144 0.0132 0.0139
July 0.0142 0.0134 0.0138
August 0.0139 0.0134 0.0136
September 0.0137 0.0134 0.0136
October 0.0139 0.0134 0.0136
November 0.0146 0.0116 0.0135
December 0.0118 0.0111 0.0115