YEARLY HIGH
13.4310 STD
YEARLY LOW
12.1554 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.7557 STD

2018 CDF to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 28, valuing the pair at 13.4310. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 12.1554.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2756 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.6124 to the December average rate of 12.9495, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.67% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 13.4310 was down 33.75% compared to the 2017 peak of 20.2725, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 67,155 STD
2017 Average 75,423 STD
Yearly Trough Low 60,777 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,377.81 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

13.0796
12.2284
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.5700, compared to 12.9413 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3713 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.5700
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.9413

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.7926 STD (High: 13.4310 / Low: 12.6383). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1528 STD (High: 12.9542 / Low: 12.8015).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.7926
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1528

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2876 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2876

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 12.9555) against the same month in 2017 (average: 13.6890), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7335 (-5.36%).

2018 Avg (July) 12.9555
2017 Avg (July) 13.6890

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.0712 12.3053 12.6124
February 12.5138 12.1554 12.3248
March 12.3594 12.2051 12.2994
April 12.4501 12.2916 12.3466
May 13.0920 12.6153 12.8283
June 13.1152 12.8886 13.0087
July 13.4310 12.6383 12.9555
August 13.0344 12.8149 12.9412
September 12.9542 12.8015 12.8718
October 13.0749 12.8669 12.9597
November 13.0749 12.8025 12.9702
December 13.0749 12.8217 12.9495