YEARLY HIGH
4.9849 NIO
YEARLY LOW
4.6174 NIO
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7914 NIO

2018 CNY to NIO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CNY to NIO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 15, valuing the pair at 4.9849. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 15, dropping to 4.6174.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3676 NIO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.8186 to the December average rate of 4.7063, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.9849 was up 5.31% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.7335, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 CNY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 124,623 NIO
2017 Average 111,025 NIO
Yearly Trough Low 115,435 NIO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,188.98 NIO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.9836
4.6184
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CNY to NIO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9056, compared to 4.6771 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2284 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9056
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6771

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.2411 NIO (High: 4.9561 / Low: 4.7150). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0444 NIO (High: 4.9456 / Low: 4.9012).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2411
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0444

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1615 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1615

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 4.9532) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.3001), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6531 (+15.19%).

2018 Avg (April) 4.9532
2017 Avg (April) 4.3001

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.9561 4.7150 4.8186
February 4.9666 4.8926 4.9270
March 4.9800 4.8929 4.9279
April 4.9849 4.9217 4.9532
May 4.9456 4.9012 4.9226
June 4.9423 4.7595 4.8841
July 4.7821 4.6661 4.7226
August 4.6929 4.6174 4.6569
September 4.7167 4.6481 4.6739
October 4.6922 4.6227 4.6488
November 4.6831 4.6242 4.6542
December 4.7411 4.6530 4.7063