YEARLY HIGH
15.9596 RSD
YEARLY LOW
14.6308 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
15.1528 RSD

2018 CNY to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CNY to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 14, valuing the pair at 15.9596. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 24, dropping to 14.6308.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3288 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.1291 to the December average rate of 15.0831, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 15.9596 was down 6.62% compared to the 2017 peak of 17.0915, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 CNY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 398,991 RSD
2017 Average 397,937 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 365,771 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 33,220.09 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

15.7780
14.7225
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CNY to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.3436, compared to 14.9619 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3817 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.3436
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.9619

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.7109 RSD (High: 15.9596 / Low: 15.2488). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2037 RSD (High: 15.0828 / Low: 14.8790).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.7109
November Spread (Stable) ±0.2037

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.6090 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6090

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 15.6403) against the same month in 2017 (average: 15.9420), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3016 (-1.89%).

2018 Avg (June) 15.6403
2017 Avg (June) 15.9420

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.2614 14.9644 15.1291
February 15.4357 14.8879 15.1561
March 15.2984 15.0252 15.1594
April 15.4505 15.1948 15.2866
May 15.9413 15.4226 15.6900
June 15.9596 15.2488 15.6403
July 15.2771 14.7939 15.0313
August 15.1060 14.8041 14.9485
September 14.9738 14.6308 14.8105
October 15.0415 14.7577 14.8991
November 15.0828 14.8790 14.9991
December 15.2432 14.9904 15.0831