YEARLY HIGH
4.5812 UAH
YEARLY LOW
3.8780 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1150 UAH

2018 CNY to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CNY to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 4.5812. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 19, dropping to 3.8780.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7032 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4330 to the December average rate of 4.0255, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.5812 was up 5.97% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.3231, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 CNY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 114,530 UAH
2017 Average 98,428 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 96,951 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,578.81 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.4835
3.8773
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CNY to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2013, compared to 4.0286 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1728 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2013
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0286

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.2719 UAH (High: 4.5812 / Low: 4.3093). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0771 UAH (High: 4.1444 / Low: 4.0673).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2719
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0771

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1390 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1390

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 4.4330) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.9498), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4831 (+12.23%).

2018 Avg (January) 4.4330
2017 Avg (January) 3.9498

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5812 4.3093 4.4330
February 4.4185 4.2119 4.2940
March 4.2385 4.0971 4.1601
April 4.2211 4.1075 4.1534
May 4.1444 4.0673 4.1099
June 4.0963 3.9710 4.0577
July 3.9717 3.8780 3.9279
August 4.1375 3.9428 4.0201
September 4.1648 4.0852 4.1131
October 4.1173 4.0313 4.0599
November 4.0882 3.9692 4.0251
December 4.1030 3.9646 4.0255