YEARLY HIGH
57.2645 PHP
YEARLY LOW
53.6630 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
55.6142 PHP

2023 CUC to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the CUC to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 26, valuing the pair at 57.2645. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 5, dropping to 53.6630.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6015 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 54.9338 to the December average rate of 55.5200, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.07% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 57.2645 was down 3.32% compared to the 2022 peak of 59.2300, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CUC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 286,323 PHP
2022 Average 272,535 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 268,315 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,007.53 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

56.9984
54.5247
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CUC to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 55.2250, compared to 56.0035 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7785 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 55.2250
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 56.0035

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was April, with a trading range of 2.0340 PHP (High: 56.3100 / Low: 54.2760). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4400 PHP (High: 57.0405 / Low: 56.6005).

April Spread (Volatile) ±2.0340
October Spread (Stable) ±0.4400

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.0621 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0621

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2023: 56.7922) against the same month in 2022 (average: 57.6540), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8618 (-1.49%).

2023 Avg (September) 56.7922
2022 Avg (September) 57.6540

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 55.9700 54.3850 54.9338
February 55.5250 53.6630 54.8540
March 55.5200 54.0900 54.7309
April 56.3100 54.2760 55.2532
May 56.3560 55.3363 55.7688
June 56.2340 55.1610 55.8091
July 55.6700 54.3460 54.9065
August 56.8720 54.9015 56.3052
September 57.2645 56.6385 56.7922
October 57.0405 56.6005 56.7796
November 56.6790 55.1835 55.7175
December 55.8625 55.2850 55.5200