YEARLY HIGH
4.1488 RON
YEARLY LOW
3.7172 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9432 RON

2018 CUC to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CUC to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 4.1488. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 3.7172.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4316 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8129 to the December average rate of 4.0869, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.1488 was down 4.45% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.3420, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CUC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,744 RON
2017 Average 20,249 RON
Yearly Trough Low 18,586 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,158.16 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.1332
3.7377
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CUC to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8468, compared to 4.0397 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1929 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8468
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0397

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.1694 RON (High: 4.0273 / Low: 3.8579). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0628 RON (High: 4.0147 / Low: 3.9519).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1694
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0628

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0423 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0423

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 4.1002) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.9442), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1560 (+3.96%).

2018 Avg (November) 4.1002
2017 Avg (November) 3.9442

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8948 3.7448 3.8129
February 3.8196 3.7172 3.7706
March 3.8106 3.7341 3.7797
April 3.8581 3.7462 3.7967
May 4.0273 3.8579 3.9270
June 4.0358 3.9491 3.9938
July 4.0060 3.9377 3.9772
August 4.1130 3.9585 4.0248
September 4.0147 3.9519 3.9864
October 4.1221 4.0251 4.0625
November 4.1488 4.0749 4.1002
December 4.1232 4.0442 4.0869