YEARLY HIGH
5.5185 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.1939 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4241 BRL

2026 CUP to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the CUP to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 5.5185. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 0.1939.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.3246 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3445 to the December average rate of 0.1988, the exchange rate registered a net change of -96.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 5.5185 was down 12.43% compared to the 2025 peak of 6.3015, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CUP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,593 BRL
2025 Average 27,970 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 969 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 26,623.00 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

5.8594
-0.3188
JanuFebrMarcApriMayJune

CUP to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4241, compared to 0.0000 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.4241 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4241
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0000

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 4.9666 BRL (High: 5.1606 / Low: 0.1940). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 BRL (High: 0.1970 / Low: 0.1939).

April Spread (Volatile) ±4.9666
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 4.1608 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.1608

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 5.3445) against the same month in 2025 (average: 6.0395), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6949 (-11.51%).

2026 Avg (January) 5.3445
2025 Avg (January) 6.0395

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5185 5.1862 5.3445
February 5.2729 5.1245 5.2028
March 5.3309 5.1306 5.2455
April 5.1606 0.1940 4.3568
May 0.1970 0.1939 0.1961
June 0.2017 0.1954 0.1988